Bank of Japan cautious on further hikes – Rabobank

Rabobank Research Global Economics & Markets reports that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) is reluctant to continue rapid rate hikes, with September meeting notes revealing internal divisions and concerns over weak private consumption.

BOJ balances growth and tightening risks

"The BOJ doesn’t want to keep raising rates rapidly, the September meeting notes showing some hawks but others pointing to weak private consumption and warning against hasty action, as government representatives urged weighing the cumulative impact of past rate increases."

"However, with the latest Tankan survey the most upbeat for large manufacturers since 2018 the Bank may not have a choice – assuming it is the one choosing, not Bessent."

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor. Know more.)

Brent Oil: Conflict-driven surge shapes bond stress – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank’s Jim Reid highlights that Brent Oil has surged sharply in Q3 as the US–Iran conflict re-escalated, driving a major global bond selloff and higher long-end yields. The report notes fresh gains in Brent and WTI, warns about benchmark roll effects on front contracts, and flags strength further out the futures curve, reinforcing inflation concerns and hawkish central bank risks.
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British Pound: Potential EU re-engagement supports Sterling – ING

Chris Turner at ING discusses the British Pound as EUR/GBP moves noticeably lower, suggesting emerging Euro weakness and a changing UK narrative. He highlights UK Prime Minister Andy Burnham’s speech on moving closer to Europe, including a possible push to rejoin the EU after the next election.
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